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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+6.85vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.96+6.13vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.09+1.42vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+2.00vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.87+6.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.63-1.39vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.71-2.65vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+4.54vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+1.76vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.68+1.90vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.28-1.06vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.91-4.95vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.71-1.57vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.82vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.69-6.94vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.46-3.35vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.70-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.13Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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4.42College of Charleston4.090.2%1st Place
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6.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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6.37Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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12.16University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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5.61U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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5.35Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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13.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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11.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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12.9Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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10.94George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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8.05Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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12.43Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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9.06SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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13.65University of Wisconsin1.460.0%1st Place
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12.59University of South Florida1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Juan Perdomo | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 16.2% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Greg Martinez | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 16.9% |
| Austin Neuman | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% |
| Thomas Cooper | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.4% |
| Colin Kennedy | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Joseph David | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 20.9% |
| Cameron Smith | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.