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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+6.70vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+4.42vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+2.69vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.09+0.40vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.63+0.79vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.38+0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.87+5.25vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.46+5.53vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.39-2.48vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.68+3.10vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.96-2.74vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.91-3.32vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.28-2.31vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.88vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-1.37vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-4.17vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.71-4.06vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.70-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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6.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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5.69Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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4.4College of Charleston4.090.2%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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6.65Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.25University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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13.53University of Wisconsin1.460.0%1st Place
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6.52Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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13.1Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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8.26Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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8.68Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
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10.69George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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10.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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13.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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11.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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12.94Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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12.79University of South Florida1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Marshall | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 17.8% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 19.2% |
| Greg Martinez | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 14.4% |
| Juan Perdomo | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Joseph David | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Colin Kennedy | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 19.6% |
| Austin Neuman | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 12.7% |
| Cameron Smith | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.