← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+3.05vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.44+0.96vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington1.83+0.92vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.31+1.11vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.08vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.27vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-0.54vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California1.40-3.58vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.05California Poly Maritime Academy1.9214.0%1st Place
-
2.96Stanford University2.4426.8%1st Place
-
3.92University of Washington1.8315.9%1st Place
-
5.11University of Hawaii1.318.5%1st Place
-
5.08University of California at Berkeley0.987.4%1st Place
-
4.73University of California at Santa Barbara1.6710.4%1st Place
-
6.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.353.4%1st Place
-
4.42University of Southern California1.4012.2%1st Place
-
8.27University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nicholas Mueller | 14.0% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
Chapman Petersen | 26.8% | 22.9% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Benjamin Stone | 15.9% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
Everett McAvoy | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 3.4% |
Will Cornell | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 3.2% |
Henry Boeger | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 2.2% |
Robert Bloomfield | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 31.9% | 14.0% |
Luke Harris | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 1.7% |
Conrad Kistler | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 11.5% | 73.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.