Race 8A

finger-lakes-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Morgan Wilson 19.3% 19.3% 15.8% 12.2% 13.8% 10.8% 5.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Marlena Fauer 25.7% 20.2% 18.8% 14.6% 11.0% 5.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Mary Cummins 3.9% 4.8% 5.6% 7.6% 7.6% 11.3% 18.7% 17.5% 15.4% 7.6%
Caroline Wilhelm 9.1% 9.4% 11.0% 15.2% 15.7% 15.3% 11.3% 8.6% 3.2% 1.2%
Caroline Patten 22.1% 19.9% 19.6% 15.7% 10.0% 6.2% 4.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Ryann Hall 5.9% 5.7% 7.7% 8.2% 11.4% 13.8% 16.1% 13.5% 12.9% 4.8%
Marissa Lihan 8.1% 13.9% 12.3% 14.3% 16.5% 14.5% 9.9% 7.2% 2.5% 0.8%
Hillary Paulsen 2.9% 3.4% 4.9% 5.0% 6.7% 10.8% 14.7% 18.7% 19.1% 13.8%
Julie Webster 1.5% 1.0% 1.2% 3.9% 2.6% 4.7% 7.3% 11.8% 20.1% 45.9%
Heather Richardson 1.5% 2.4% 3.1% 3.3% 4.7% 7.1% 9.7% 17.5% 25.2% 25.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.