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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+3.73vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.38+5.02vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.87+9.80vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+6.48vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+1.80vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.71-0.27vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.91+1.64vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-1.61vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+3.04vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.28+1.32vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.15-3.12vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.69-2.23vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.63-7.12vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.71-1.16vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.70-1.88vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.68-2.69vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.46-3.00vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.96-9.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73College of Charleston4.090.2%1st Place
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7.02Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.8University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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10.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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6.8Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.73Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.64Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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11.32George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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7.88Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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9.77SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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12.84Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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13.12University of South Florida1.700.0%1st Place
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13.31Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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14.0University of Wisconsin1.460.0%1st Place
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8.24Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 15.9% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 11.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Greg Martinez | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Markus Edegran | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% |
| Colin Kennedy | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| William Marshall | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Gary Prieto | 11.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 13.8% |
| Cameron Smith | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 15.4% |
| Thomas Cooper | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 16.9% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 24.2% |
| Juan Perdomo | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.