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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+8.00vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.44vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+5.37vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.97+9.02vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.61vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.74+4.10vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+1.98vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06+0.66vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.90+0.35vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.21-1.68vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.73-0.71vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-3.49vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.49-2.02vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.61-3.69vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.58-4.27vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.05-7.22vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.34-5.09vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.33-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.37Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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13.02Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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5.61University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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10.1Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.98University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.66Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.35Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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8.32Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.29College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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8.51Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.98Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.31Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.73Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.78Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.91Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.62Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 14.1% | 23.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.2% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Charlotte List | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.