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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.74+9.31vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.75vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.73+7.40vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+3.96vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+3.10vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.90+3.36vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.06+1.69vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05+0.64vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.61+1.67vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.49+1.39vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.07vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.33+0.14vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.78vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.58-3.58vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.99-6.07vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.20-7.80vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.34-5.09vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.97-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.31Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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5.75University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.4College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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7.96Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.1Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.36Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.69Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.64Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.67Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.39Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.14Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.42Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.2Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.91Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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12.98Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% |
| Charlotte List | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Kate Shaner | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 14.4% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.