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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.54vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+6.29vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.58+8.09vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.73+6.00vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.63vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+2.13vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.06+1.66vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.68vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99-0.07vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.20-1.61vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.90-1.46vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.97+1.46vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.74-3.03vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-5.58vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.61-4.39vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.33-4.14vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.49-5.72vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.29Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.09Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.0College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.13Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.66Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.39Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.54Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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13.46Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.97Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.42Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.61Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.86Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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11.28Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.52Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.2% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 27.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% |
| Kate Shaner | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.6% |
| Charlotte List | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.