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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.74+8.80vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+6.54vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.59vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.34+7.06vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.73+4.61vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.90+2.97vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.92vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.32vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-1.25vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.33+1.51vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.97+1.61vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.49-0.99vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.61-3.04vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.99-5.70vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.06-6.69vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.20-8.10vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.21-9.12vs Predicted
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18Harvard University-2.08-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.8Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.54Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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5.59University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.06Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.61College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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8.97Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.75Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.51Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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12.61Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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11.01Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.96Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.31Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.9Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.88Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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17.81Harvard University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 0.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 0.8% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 24.5% | 1.4% |
| Charlotte List | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 0.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 0.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wheeler | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 95.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.