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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.19vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+5.00vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+3.70vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.33vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.97+6.59vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21+0.72vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.33+3.16vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.68vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.73-0.09vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34+0.31vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.74-2.01vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.49-2.52vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.61-4.19vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.99-6.46vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.06-7.61vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.90-7.90vs Predicted
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18Harvard University-2.08-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.0Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.7Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.59Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.72Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.16Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.32Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.91College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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11.31Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.99Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.48Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.81Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.1Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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17.81Harvard University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 12.0% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 24.0% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 0.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 0.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 0.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte List | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 0.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 0.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wheeler | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 95.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.