Race 9A

finger-lakes-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline Patten 23.6% 21.0% 17.8% 13.9% 9.2% 7.4% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Marlena Fauer 25.9% 22.2% 18.1% 14.0% 10.1% 5.6% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Morgan Wilson 17.2% 16.3% 17.9% 15.5% 13.9% 9.1% 7.0% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Hillary Paulsen 2.1% 3.6% 3.9% 4.8% 8.0% 10.3% 12.6% 21.1% 20.1% 13.5%
Marissa Lihan 10.8% 11.3% 13.2% 13.9% 15.8% 13.7% 10.6% 7.1% 2.9% 0.7%
Caroline Wilhelm 9.6% 10.7% 11.1% 14.7% 14.8% 12.5% 12.6% 9.6% 3.2% 1.2%
Mary Cummins 3.5% 4.5% 5.7% 7.3% 9.1% 13.2% 18.3% 15.0% 15.4% 8.0%
Julie Webster 1.0% 1.3% 2.2% 2.6% 4.1% 5.1% 6.6% 10.9% 21.5% 44.7%
Ryann Hall 4.6% 6.3% 7.3% 9.6% 10.1% 15.2% 15.1% 16.2% 10.7% 4.9%
Heather Richardson 1.7% 2.8% 2.8% 3.7% 4.9% 7.9% 9.5% 14.8% 25.0% 26.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.