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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.51+3.73vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74+2.24vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.90+0.55vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.19-2.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.11-0.90vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.39-0.28vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80-1.18vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73University of Hawaii0.516.2%1st Place
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4.24University of California at Berkeley0.748.8%1st Place
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3.55University of Southern California0.9013.6%1st Place
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1.87Stanford University2.1949.5%1st Place
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3.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.0811.0%1st Place
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5.1University of Washington0.116.2%1st Place
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6.72Arizona State University-0.392.1%1st Place
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6.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.802.2%1st Place
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8.2University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martha Schuessler | 6.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Katherine Olsen | 8.8% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Morgana Manti | 13.6% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 49.5% | 26.8% | 14.5% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 11.0% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 17.6% | 16.3% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Sammy Farkas | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 10.0% | 1.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 21.2% | 29.2% | 15.0% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 21.1% | 31.2% | 15.9% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.