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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+7.55vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+5.85vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.60vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.74+5.50vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+3.54vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20+1.80vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.95vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-2.66vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.33+2.26vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.49+0.90vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.97+1.60vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.06-3.29vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.20-5.34vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-5.33vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.61-4.87vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.73-6.28vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.34-5.70vs Predicted
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18Harvard University-2.08-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.55Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.85Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.5Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.8Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.34University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.26Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.9Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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12.6Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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8.71Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.66Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.67Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.13Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.72College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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11.3Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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17.82Harvard University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.2% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte List | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 0.7% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 26.0% | 1.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 0.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 0.3% |
| Emma Wheeler | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 96.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.