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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+6.80vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.13vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.73+5.36vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74+4.38vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+2.46vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+1.19vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.34+2.87vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.33+2.00vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.61+0.18vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-2.65vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.90-2.88vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.21-5.55vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-3.92vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.20-7.42vs Predicted
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16Cornell University0.64-0.44vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-8.66vs Predicted
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18Harvard University-2.08-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.36College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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9.38Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.19Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.87Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.0Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.18Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.12Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.08Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.58Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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15.56Cornell University0.640.0%1st Place
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8.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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17.77Harvard University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.1% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 5.5% | 0.2% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Wong | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 11.1% | 60.8% | 6.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wheeler | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 4.7% | 92.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.