← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.48vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.20+5.82vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.12vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.09vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.73+4.40vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College3.06+2.21vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.61+2.91vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.21-0.47vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.33+2.01vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University2.90-0.93vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.49-0.47vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.20-4.03vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.34-2.23vs Predicted
-
14Yale University3.05-6.08vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont2.99-6.67vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University2.74-6.52vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University0.64-1.40vs Predicted
-
18Harvard University-2.08-0.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.48University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
7.82Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.4College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
-
8.21Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
9.91Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
-
7.53Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
11.01Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
-
9.07Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
-
10.53Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.97Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.77Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
7.92Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.33University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
9.48Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
-
15.6Cornell University0.640.0%1st Place
-
17.78Harvard University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 12.6% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 5.8% | 0.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Wong | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 63.5% | 6.0% |
| Emma Wheeler | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 4.1% | 92.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.