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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.20vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.42vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.40vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.61+5.91vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+3.16vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20+1.69vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.90+1.83vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.99+0.36vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-1.39vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.74-0.21vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-0.41vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.99-3.18vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.73-3.60vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.33-3.24vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-4.02vs Predicted
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16Cornell University0.64+0.02vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.05-8.60vs Predicted
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18Harvard University0.76-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.91Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.16Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.69Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.83Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.36University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.61Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.79Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.59Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.82Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.4College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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10.76Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.98Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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16.02Cornell University0.640.0%1st Place
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8.4Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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15.68Harvard University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte List | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Emma White | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Kimberly Wong | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 25.3% | 45.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kristina Jakobson | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 27.9% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.