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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.15vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.74+7.79vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+5.45vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.09vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+5.36vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20+1.74vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.06+1.14vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.90+0.75vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.33+2.05vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-4.53vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.73-1.34vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-3.14vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.99-4.60vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.20-6.62vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-4.01vs Predicted
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16Harvard University0.76-0.18vs Predicted
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17Cornell University0.64-0.95vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.61-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.79Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.45Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.36Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.74Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.14Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.75Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.05Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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5.47University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.66College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.4Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.38Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.99Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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15.82Harvard University0.760.0%1st Place
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16.05Cornell University0.640.0%1st Place
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9.83Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 10.3% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte List | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 1.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Emma White | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Kristina Jakobson | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 25.8% | 41.5% |
| Kimberly Wong | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 24.4% | 46.9% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.