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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+6.88vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.43vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.33+8.38vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.90+4.69vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.99+3.38vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.06+2.22vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.74+2.54vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-2.80vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.83vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.61+0.27vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.92vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.20-4.01vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-4.71vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.34-3.26vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.73-5.54vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.49-5.47vs Predicted
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17Cornell University0.64-0.90vs Predicted
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18Harvard University0.76-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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11.38Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.69Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.22Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.54Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.17Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.27Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.99Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.74Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.46College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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10.53Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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16.1Cornell University0.640.0%1st Place
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15.65Harvard University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Kate Shaner | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Emma White | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.4% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte List | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Kimberly Wong | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 23.9% | 49.4% |
| Kristina Jakobson | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 29.1% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.