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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.61+9.17vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.08vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.74+6.66vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.28vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+2.58vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.49+4.46vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.20+0.65vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06+0.10vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99-0.55vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.33+1.35vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34+0.18vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.99-3.20vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.93vs Predicted
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14Cornell University0.64+1.84vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.73-5.58vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.90-7.11vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.05-8.66vs Predicted
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18Harvard University0.76-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.17Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.66Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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7.58Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.46Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.65Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.1Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.35Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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11.18Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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8.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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15.84Cornell University0.640.0%1st Place
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9.42College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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8.89Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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8.34Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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15.69Harvard University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.1% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 3.0% |
| Emma White | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Kimberly Wong | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 24.7% | 43.5% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Kristina Jakobson | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 26.6% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.