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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+9.32vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.02+5.85vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+6.06vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+3.87vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+4.84vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67+3.17vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-0.66vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.06vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.44+1.16vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.02+2.18vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.55-1.18vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.67-2.38vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-3.88vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.91-6.17vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.50-5.12vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.74-2.89vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.70-3.72vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.52-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.32Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.85Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.06Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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9.17Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.16Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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12.18Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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9.82Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.62College of Charleston2.670.0%1st Place
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9.12Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.88Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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13.11Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.28Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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9.61Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Petno | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Amina Brown | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.6% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Paz | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Caroline Downey | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 13.1% |
| Martina Sly | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Nikki Medley | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Amanda Stapp | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 22.3% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 23.5% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.