Race 10A

finger-lakes-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marlena Fauer 26.6% 22.1% 18.2% 11.9% 9.4% 6.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Caroline Patten 21.8% 20.3% 17.7% 14.7% 11.8% 7.2% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Morgan Wilson 17.8% 15.8% 17.8% 15.7% 13.2% 10.6% 6.2% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Caroline Wilhelm 7.9% 11.5% 11.2% 15.7% 14.3% 13.2% 12.2% 9.1% 4.0% 0.9%
Marissa Lihan 11.1% 11.3% 13.0% 13.6% 16.1% 15.5% 9.6% 5.9% 3.0% 0.9%
Hillary Paulsen 3.8% 4.3% 3.7% 4.3% 7.8% 9.9% 13.5% 18.0% 19.8% 14.9%
Heather Richardson 1.6% 1.6% 2.9% 3.5% 4.3% 7.5% 10.3% 16.3% 27.7% 24.3%
Julie Webster 1.0% 1.4% 1.9% 3.3% 3.0% 5.4% 7.2% 10.9% 19.6% 46.3%
Ryann Hall 4.6% 6.5% 7.7% 8.8% 12.0% 11.8% 16.2% 16.8% 11.3% 4.3%
Mary Cummins 3.8% 5.2% 5.9% 8.5% 8.1% 12.0% 16.9% 18.0% 13.4% 8.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.