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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.44+2.05vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+4.48vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.40+0.44vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.83-2.07vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.31-1.94vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.98vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Stanford University2.4424.0%1st Place
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6.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.354.1%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Santa Barbara1.6710.9%1st Place
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4.44University of Southern California1.4012.0%1st Place
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4.12California Poly Maritime Academy1.9213.9%1st Place
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3.93University of Washington1.8315.2%1st Place
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5.06University of Hawaii1.318.9%1st Place
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5.02University of California at Berkeley0.989.3%1st Place
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8.25University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapman Petersen | 24.0% | 22.4% | 18.4% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 31.8% | 14.7% |
| Henry Boeger | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 2.3% |
| Luke Harris | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 13.9% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 15.2% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Everett McAvoy | 8.9% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 2.8% |
| Will Cornell | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 3.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 11.3% | 73.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.