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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+9.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.12vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+6.42vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.74+8.80vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.44+5.09vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.55+3.72vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.96+0.95vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-1.74vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-0.80vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.52+0.10vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.45-0.72vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.76-2.79vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.02-5.43vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.67-5.11vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.65-5.83vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.02-4.00vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.50-6.92vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.70-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.42Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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12.8Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.09Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.72Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.2Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.1Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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10.28Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.21Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.57Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.89College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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9.17Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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12.0Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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10.08Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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13.03Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 20.7% |
| Mary Paz | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% |
| Martina Sly | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% |
| Amina Brown | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Emily Petno | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Caroline Downey | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.8% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.