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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.67+8.40vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+6.37vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.67+6.39vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.99vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.52+4.73vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+4.13vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.02+0.67vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.96-0.15vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-2.83vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.55-0.02vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.92vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-1.67vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.44-2.99vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.74-1.29vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.02-3.13vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.65-6.67vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.76-8.02vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.70-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.4Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.37Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.73Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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10.13Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.67Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.17University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.98Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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10.33Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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10.01Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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12.71Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.87Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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9.33Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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8.98Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.99Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Emily Petno | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Amina Brown | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Martina Sly | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Mary Paz | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 20.4% |
| Caroline Downey | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.