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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+7.18vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.45+8.38vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+6.45vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.02+7.74vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91+3.13vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37+0.29vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.93vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.67+1.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.07vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.550.00vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.02-3.17vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.70+1.46vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.52-3.30vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.74-1.30vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.50-5.14vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.76-7.18vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.65-7.48vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.44-8.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.38Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.45Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.74Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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9.1College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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5.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.0Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.83Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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13.46Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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9.7Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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12.7Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.86Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.82Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.52Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.98Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Emily Petno | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Caroline Downey | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Martina Sly | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 26.9% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 15.2% | 19.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Mary Paz | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.