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📊 Prediction Accuracy
0.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+9.03vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+6.87vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+6.80vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.45+5.90vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.52+4.62vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67+3.06vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.44+3.04vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.98+3.82vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.02+2.79vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.74+3.12vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-3.02vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-5.39vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-3.99vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.91-6.19vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-9.15vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.02-8.31vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.70-3.86vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.67-9.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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8.87Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.8Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.9Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.62Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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9.06Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.04Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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11.82Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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11.79Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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13.12Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.98University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.01Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.69Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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13.14Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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8.86College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Martina Sly | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Emily Petno | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Mary Paz | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% |
| Caroline Downey | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 21.5% |
| Amina Brown | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 22.5% |
| Nikki Medley | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.