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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+9.00vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+6.24vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.04vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.67+4.94vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+2.75vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.02+1.58vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.67+2.06vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-1.78vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.45+0.95vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.55-0.15vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.74+1.94vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.98+0.36vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.70-0.14vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.65-5.10vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.44-4.98vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.02-4.09vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.76-8.13vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.52-8.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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8.24Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.94College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.58Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.06Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.95Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.85Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.94Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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12.36Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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12.86Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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8.9Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.02Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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11.91Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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8.87Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Amina Brown | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Sophie Hibben | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emily Petno | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Martina Sly | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 20.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 15.1% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 21.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Mary Paz | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Caroline Downey | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.5% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.