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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.67+8.23vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.07vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+3.38vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.45+5.90vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.65+4.06vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.02+5.82vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.67+2.04vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.52+1.64vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-1.02vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.02-2.14vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-2.98vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.74+1.21vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.55-3.55vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.98-2.40vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.70-1.99vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.44-5.81vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-7.01vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.76-9.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.23Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.9Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.06Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.82Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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9.04College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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9.64Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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7.98Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.86Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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13.21Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.45Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.6Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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13.01Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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10.19Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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8.53Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Emily Petno | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Downey | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.6% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Amina Brown | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Amanda Stapp | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 22.5% |
| Martina Sly | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 12.2% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 19.5% |
| Mary Paz | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.