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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+7.04vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.05vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.74+10.21vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.98+7.77vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.67+3.96vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+3.17vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.80vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.910.00vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.02+2.84vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-3.51vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.55-1.32vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.67-2.52vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.44-3.07vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.52-4.64vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.45-5.09vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.70-2.88vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.76-8.14vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.02-10.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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13.21Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.77Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.96Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.17Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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8.0Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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11.84Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.68Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.48College of Charleston2.670.1%1st Place
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9.93Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.36Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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9.91Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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13.12Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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8.86Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.34Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 21.6% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 12.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Caroline Downey | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Martina Sly | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Nikki Medley | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Mary Paz | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Emily Petno | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 21.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% |
| Sophie Hibben | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.