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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+7.07vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.02vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+3.34vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.52+5.59vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.02+2.55vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.60+3.39vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65+2.13vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+1.74vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.55+0.50vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-1.69vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.67-1.84vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.76-2.96vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.45-3.18vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.98-2.38vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.44-5.00vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.74-3.03vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.70-3.85vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.02-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.59Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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7.55Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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9.13Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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9.5Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.16Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.04Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.82Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.62Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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10.0Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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12.97Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.15Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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11.61Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.4% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Martina Sly | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Emily Petno | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% |
| Mary Paz | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 20.7% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 22.3% |
| Caroline Downey | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.