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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+7.44vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.60+7.72vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+6.37vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+5.79vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.76+3.72vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.55+3.70vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.70+6.10vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.09vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.02-1.39vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.45+0.35vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.44-0.73vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-1.68vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-3.94vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-7.92vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.96-7.13vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.74-2.92vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.02-5.00vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.52-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.44Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.72College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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9.37Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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8.72Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.7Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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13.1Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.61Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.35Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.27Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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10.32Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.06Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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13.08Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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12.0Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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9.6Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Martina Sly | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 20.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Emily Petno | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Mary Paz | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.2% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Amina Brown | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 21.4% |
| Caroline Downey | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.6% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.