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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.23vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+7.04vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+3.45vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.45+6.01vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+2.87vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.02+1.69vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.60+2.49vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.67+1.04vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.55+0.63vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.18vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.52-1.01vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.02+0.27vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-4.97vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.74-1.34vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.70-1.92vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.65-6.71vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.44-6.69vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.50-8.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.04Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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6.45University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.01Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.69Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.49College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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9.04Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.63Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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9.99Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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12.27Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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8.03Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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12.66Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.08Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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9.29Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.31Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.75Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Emily Petno | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Amina Brown | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Martina Sly | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% |
| Caroline Downey | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 15.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 19.7% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 21.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Mary Paz | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.