Race 5A

pccsc-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sophie Fisher 46.1% 28.0% 14.8% 7.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Martha Schuessler 6.8% 10.8% 11.6% 14.1% 16.6% 18.1% 13.2% 7.2% 1.5%
Morgana Manti 14.3% 17.0% 19.8% 17.0% 16.4% 10.1% 4.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Katherine Olsen 10.1% 12.4% 16.9% 16.1% 16.6% 14.5% 9.2% 3.4% 0.9%
Evelyn Engebretson 12.8% 17.0% 17.6% 19.8% 14.7% 11.7% 4.9% 1.5% 0.1%
Micaela Jorcino 2.1% 2.5% 4.3% 5.1% 6.9% 10.6% 21.4% 30.9% 16.2%
Sammy Farkas 5.5% 8.2% 9.2% 13.5% 15.4% 18.3% 17.8% 10.2% 1.9%
Sadie Hoberman 1.8% 3.2% 4.4% 5.9% 7.3% 12.0% 21.8% 29.1% 14.5%
Alexandra Toaxen 0.4% 0.8% 1.6% 1.5% 3.1% 3.8% 7.4% 16.6% 64.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.