Race 1B

finger-lakes-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Genoa Warner 22.6% 17.5% 17.1% 13.1% 13.3% 8.3% 5.1% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Erica Lush 8.3% 7.9% 11.2% 11.6% 12.8% 16.9% 17.3% 9.6% 4.0% 0.4%
Killian Corbishley 11.5% 13.8% 15.0% 14.6% 15.8% 14.7% 9.0% 4.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Amanda Tooker 2.2% 3.2% 4.1% 5.2% 7.1% 11.0% 16.6% 26.4% 18.3% 5.9%
Lauren Turner 26.2% 22.6% 18.2% 13.9% 9.0% 6.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Michelle Czarnecki 3.8% 5.0% 3.9% 6.5% 7.1% 11.5% 17.8% 23.3% 17.1% 4.0%
Brooke Lyon 8.4% 11.4% 13.6% 14.8% 16.5% 14.1% 12.8% 6.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Corina Radtke 15.7% 16.8% 14.4% 17.1% 13.5% 11.8% 6.7% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Sydney Goodfellow 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 4.3% 10.9% 23.4% 54.0%
Leeds Pierce 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 2.2% 3.2% 3.9% 7.6% 12.1% 33.5% 34.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.