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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+11.00vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+6.10vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.60+6.80vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.45+5.97vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.30vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.55+3.71vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+1.74vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.74+4.88vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.08vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.02-2.06vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-2.70vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.44-1.42vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-3.86vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.67-5.16vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.50-5.13vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-5.97vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.70-3.74vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.52-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.0Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.8College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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9.97Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.71Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.74Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.88Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.94Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.58Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.14Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.84Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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10.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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13.26Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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9.6Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Downey | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.3% |
| Amina Brown | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Emily Petno | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Martina Sly | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 20.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Mary Paz | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 23.2% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.