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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+5.58vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+7.92vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.18vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+4.07vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.52+4.71vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76+2.77vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.02+4.90vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.02-0.38vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.60+0.48vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.70+3.39vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.44-0.68vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-3.76vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-3.23vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.50-4.41vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.74-2.05vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.65-6.63vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.45-6.82vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.67-9.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.92Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.71Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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8.77Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.9Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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7.62Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.48College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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13.39Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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10.32Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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9.59Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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12.95Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.37Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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10.18Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.96Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Martina Sly | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Downey | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% |
| Sophie Hibben | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 25.6% |
| Mary Paz | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% |
| Amina Brown | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 21.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Emily Petno | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.