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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+9.19vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.67+7.22vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+6.35vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02+3.48vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.86vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+2.04vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.60+2.29vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.98+3.85vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.02+2.75vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.52-0.03vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.44-0.82vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.55-2.06vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.76-4.51vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-8.05vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.96-7.25vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-6.12vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.70-3.89vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.74-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.19Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.22Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.35Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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7.48Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.29College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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11.85Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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11.75Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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9.97Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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10.18Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.94Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.49Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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13.11Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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12.7Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Petno | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 14.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% |
| Caroline Downey | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Mary Paz | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Martina Sly | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.4% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Amina Brown | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 21.6% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.