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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.52+8.91vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.00vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+6.29vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.02+7.55vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.02+2.59vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+4.01vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.74vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.55+1.47vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.98+2.94vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-3.53vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.76-2.24vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-3.56vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.44-3.14vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.96-6.46vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.60-5.71vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.70-2.92vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.65-7.68vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.74-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.91Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.29Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.55Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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7.59Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.01Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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9.47Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.94Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.76Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.86Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.29College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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13.08Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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9.32Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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12.73Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah De Silva | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Downey | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.5% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Emily Petno | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Martina Sly | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Mary Paz | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% |
| Amina Brown | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 22.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.