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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+7.28vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+4.39vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.52+6.93vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.02+7.64vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.44+5.02vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.11vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.60+2.33vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+1.70vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.02-1.48vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.55-0.10vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.98+1.02vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.70+1.30vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.67-4.08vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.96-6.41vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.65-5.93vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.45-6.00vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.74-4.05vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.76-9.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.93Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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11.64Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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10.02Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.33College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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9.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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7.52Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.9Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.02Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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13.3Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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8.92Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.07Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.0Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.95Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.55Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Caroline Downey | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.6% |
| Mary Paz | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Sophie Hibben | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Martina Sly | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 23.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Amina Brown | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Emily Petno | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 20.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.