Race 1A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alexandria Zimmerman 12.8% 13.8% 11.4% 12.4% 13.2% 12.3% 9.9% 9.5% 4.7%
Margot Sherman Jollis 7.1% 8.3% 10.4% 10.0% 11.4% 13.1% 14.8% 14.6% 10.3%
David Gates 14.0% 12.1% 14.7% 11.1% 11.9% 11.9% 10.8% 10.9% 2.6%
Abby Freeman 14.1% 13.0% 12.1% 14.4% 10.8% 13.3% 9.9% 8.1% 4.3%
Benjamin Jepsen 6.7% 9.4% 8.5% 8.7% 9.3% 11.0% 11.9% 16.3% 18.2%
Matt Bracey 14.5% 14.7% 13.3% 15.1% 12.6% 10.3% 10.4% 6.6% 2.5%
David Aspery 16.4% 14.6% 15.1% 13.1% 13.6% 9.3% 9.2% 6.7% 2.0%
Drew Blackburn 10.4% 11.0% 10.7% 11.8% 11.4% 11.5% 12.3% 12.0% 8.9%
Kyle Williams 4.0% 3.1% 3.8% 3.4% 5.8% 7.3% 10.8% 15.3% 46.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.