Race 2A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Abby Freeman 13.4% 12.3% 13.1% 12.4% 13.1% 10.6% 10.8% 9.6% 4.7%
Matt Bracey 11.2% 14.9% 13.6% 13.3% 13.9% 11.6% 9.6% 8.6% 3.3%
Margot Sherman Jollis 8.1% 9.5% 10.0% 11.8% 9.9% 12.6% 14.2% 14.0% 9.9%
Drew Blackburn 10.8% 11.0% 11.9% 11.4% 12.5% 12.8% 11.3% 11.7% 6.6%
Alexandria Zimmerman 15.0% 13.2% 15.6% 10.2% 11.2% 10.0% 11.2% 7.9% 5.7%
David Gates 14.1% 14.1% 11.8% 14.0% 12.5% 12.0% 10.1% 7.4% 4.0%
Benjamin Jepsen 6.6% 6.1% 7.7% 8.4% 10.3% 10.9% 15.5% 17.7% 16.8%
David Aspery 17.2% 15.4% 12.5% 14.7% 10.9% 11.8% 8.2% 6.1% 3.2%
Kyle Williams 3.6% 3.5% 3.8% 3.8% 5.7% 7.7% 9.1% 17.0% 45.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.