Race 3A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alexandria Zimmerman 12.6% 13.9% 10.1% 14.2% 11.9% 13.9% 9.8% 9.5% 4.1%
Benjamin Jepsen 4.7% 5.6% 7.9% 8.0% 9.8% 12.8% 12.8% 19.1% 19.3%
David Aspery 16.1% 13.2% 16.4% 12.5% 11.7% 11.8% 9.0% 7.1% 2.2%
Matt Bracey 14.7% 16.7% 13.7% 14.5% 12.0% 9.0% 9.6% 7.0% 2.8%
David Gates 14.5% 15.7% 13.6% 12.5% 9.2% 11.6% 10.5% 8.2% 4.2%
Abby Freeman 14.1% 11.3% 13.9% 13.2% 13.1% 10.9% 10.5% 8.3% 4.7%
Drew Blackburn 10.0% 10.0% 10.8% 11.6% 14.1% 11.9% 13.5% 11.3% 6.8%
Kyle Williams 3.5% 4.0% 3.0% 4.8% 5.3% 6.9% 9.1% 15.9% 47.5%
Margot Sherman Jollis 9.8% 9.6% 10.6% 8.7% 12.9% 11.2% 15.2% 13.6% 8.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.