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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northern Michigan University0.17+3.45vs Predicted
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2Ohio University0.13+2.67vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.34+1.09vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.54+1.78vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.09-0.18vs Predicted
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6Denison University-0.21-0.79vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University0.27-2.81vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University0.13-3.48vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-1.26-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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4.67Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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4.09Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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5.78University of Michigan-0.540.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.21Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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4.19Western Michigan University0.270.2%1st Place
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4.52Michigan State University0.130.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Iowa-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Gates | 13.5% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 4.7% |
| Abby Freeman | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 4.7% |
| David Aspery | 16.5% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Jepsen | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 16.1% |
| Drew Blackburn | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 8.1% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.7% |
| Matt Bracey | 15.2% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Alexandria Zimmerman | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% |
| Kyle Williams | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 16.9% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.