Race 1A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ian Richardson 36.7% 25.4% 16.4% 10.7% 5.7% 2.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Noah Jost 9.7% 10.8% 11.5% 11.9% 13.4% 11.9% 11.2% 9.6% 6.5% 3.4%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 6.5% 7.4% 7.8% 8.9% 9.7% 11.1% 12.2% 11.8% 14.0% 10.6%
Andrew Simpson 10.9% 12.4% 14.3% 13.0% 12.6% 11.1% 10.8% 7.8% 5.2% 1.9%
Jack Schultz 8.6% 11.2% 11.2% 11.1% 11.8% 13.0% 9.7% 11.2% 8.1% 4.2%
Lyla Solway 7.2% 8.9% 10.4% 11.0% 11.3% 13.0% 12.1% 10.5% 10.0% 5.5%
Adam Nilsson 5.2% 6.9% 8.2% 10.0% 10.0% 9.3% 11.9% 14.4% 13.2% 10.9%
Quinn Healey 7.1% 9.0% 9.6% 10.9% 11.2% 11.8% 13.3% 10.1% 11.2% 5.5%
Anna Horton 5.8% 5.0% 6.7% 8.5% 9.7% 10.1% 10.8% 13.6% 16.4% 13.7%
Brady Mayer 2.4% 2.9% 3.8% 4.0% 4.7% 5.9% 6.3% 10.6% 15.2% 44.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.