Race 2B

finger-lakes-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Genoa Warner 22.2% 17.5% 17.9% 14.9% 12.1% 6.8% 6.0% 2.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Corina Radtke 14.5% 15.6% 16.4% 14.5% 15.5% 12.6% 7.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 25.4% 20.5% 17.4% 16.7% 9.0% 6.9% 3.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Killian Corbishley 12.2% 14.2% 16.0% 14.3% 16.4% 13.5% 8.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.1%
Michelle Czarnecki 3.5% 4.9% 5.5% 5.9% 8.3% 9.0% 18.4% 24.9% 16.2% 3.4%
Erica Lush 9.0% 10.1% 8.6% 10.8% 14.9% 16.5% 15.3% 9.9% 4.1% 0.8%
Amanda Tooker 2.4% 2.6% 3.4% 5.4% 6.7% 11.7% 18.1% 26.6% 17.4% 5.7%
Brooke Lyon 9.6% 12.3% 13.4% 14.0% 12.9% 16.4% 11.6% 7.9% 1.6% 0.3%
Sydney Goodfellow 0.5% 1.0% 0.5% 1.4% 1.6% 2.7% 4.6% 8.9% 24.1% 54.7%
Leeds Pierce 0.7% 1.3% 0.9% 2.1% 2.6% 3.9% 7.0% 12.4% 34.2% 34.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.