← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.83+2.83vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+2.01vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.44-0.08vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California1.40+0.23vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.37vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii1.31-1.11vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-0.62vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.86-2.15vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.83University of Washington1.8314.7%1st Place
-
4.01California Poly Maritime Academy1.9214.0%1st Place
-
2.92Stanford University2.4426.7%1st Place
-
4.23University of Southern California1.4013.9%1st Place
-
4.63University of California at Santa Barbara1.6710.8%1st Place
-
4.89University of Hawaii1.319.7%1st Place
-
6.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.354.3%1st Place
-
5.85University of California at Berkeley0.865.1%1st Place
-
8.26University of California at Los Angeles-0.960.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benjamin Stone | 14.7% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
Nicholas Mueller | 14.0% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
Chapman Petersen | 26.7% | 21.8% | 18.5% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Luke Harris | 13.9% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
Henry Boeger | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 2.4% |
Everett McAvoy | 9.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 10.0% | 2.9% |
Robert Bloomfield | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 30.9% | 12.8% |
Carsten Zieger | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 19.1% | 22.6% | 7.9% |
Conrad Kistler | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 12.4% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.