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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio University0.13+3.52vs Predicted
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2Northern Michigan University0.17+2.57vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.34+1.08vs Predicted
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4Denison University-0.21+1.10vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University0.27-0.87vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-0.09-1.07vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.54-1.07vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University0.13-3.53vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-1.26-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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4.57Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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4.08Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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5.1Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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4.13Western Michigan University0.270.2%1st Place
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4.93University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Michigan-0.540.1%1st Place
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4.47Michigan State University0.130.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Iowa-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Freeman | 13.7% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 5.1% |
| David Gates | 10.1% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| David Aspery | 16.5% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 8.7% |
| Matt Bracey | 16.6% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Drew Blackburn | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 7.0% |
| Benjamin Jepsen | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 17.2% |
| Alexandria Zimmerman | 13.6% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 5.2% |
| Kyle Williams | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 17.7% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.