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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.27+3.20vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.34+2.25vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University0.17+1.44vs Predicted
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4Ohio University0.13+0.41vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-1.26+2.08vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.13-1.56vs Predicted
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7Denison University-0.21-1.75vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-0.09-3.00vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.54-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Western Michigan University0.270.2%1st Place
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4.25Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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4.44Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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4.41Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Iowa-1.260.0%1st Place
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4.44Michigan State University0.130.1%1st Place
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5.25Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Michigan-0.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Bracey | 15.8% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| David Aspery | 12.5% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| David Gates | 14.3% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 3.9% |
| Abby Freeman | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% |
| Kyle Williams | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 45.4% |
| Alexandria Zimmerman | 12.7% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 8.1% |
| Drew Blackburn | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 8.1% |
| Benjamin Jepsen | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.