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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matt Bracey 15.8% 14.7% 12.3% 14.0% 11.5% 11.6% 9.5% 7.3% 3.3%
David Aspery 12.5% 16.5% 14.1% 13.2% 12.9% 9.9% 10.5% 7.1% 3.3%
David Gates 14.3% 12.7% 13.1% 11.9% 10.6% 14.0% 10.6% 8.9% 3.9%
Abby Freeman 14.1% 13.8% 13.5% 11.5% 13.0% 9.5% 11.0% 8.4% 5.2%
Kyle Williams 2.9% 4.4% 5.2% 6.0% 5.5% 8.4% 7.9% 14.3% 45.4%
Alexandria Zimmerman 12.7% 13.6% 12.5% 12.8% 14.0% 11.2% 11.1% 8.1% 4.0%
Margot Sherman Jollis 9.1% 8.1% 10.1% 11.0% 12.3% 13.1% 13.2% 15.0% 8.1%
Drew Blackburn 10.8% 10.2% 11.6% 11.0% 11.2% 12.0% 11.9% 13.2% 8.1%
Benjamin Jepsen 7.8% 6.0% 7.6% 8.6% 9.0% 10.3% 14.3% 17.7% 18.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.