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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.13+3.50vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.34+2.25vs Predicted
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3Denison University-0.21+2.28vs Predicted
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4Ohio University0.13+0.39vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University0.17-0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-0.09-1.05vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University0.27-2.81vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-1.26-0.73vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.54-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Michigan State University0.130.1%1st Place
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4.25Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.28Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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4.39Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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4.29Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.19Western Michigan University0.270.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Iowa-1.260.0%1st Place
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5.88University of Michigan-0.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandria Zimmerman | 13.3% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 4.0% |
| David Aspery | 12.4% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 9.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| David Gates | 14.7% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Drew Blackburn | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% |
| Matt Bracey | 15.0% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Kyle Williams | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 47.8% |
| Benjamin Jepsen | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.