Race 10A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alexandria Zimmerman 12.8% 12.7% 13.2% 11.8% 13.2% 11.6% 11.0% 9.2% 4.5%
David Gates 10.5% 13.2% 13.2% 13.1% 13.4% 11.8% 11.5% 8.4% 4.9%
David Aspery 15.7% 14.5% 15.6% 12.5% 11.0% 12.4% 8.3% 7.9% 2.1%
Margot Sherman Jollis 9.3% 9.9% 11.4% 10.9% 11.9% 13.0% 11.3% 12.8% 9.5%
Matt Bracey 16.3% 18.1% 13.1% 10.6% 11.0% 9.7% 10.6% 6.9% 3.7%
Abby Freeman 13.7% 11.3% 13.9% 14.0% 11.6% 12.1% 10.4% 8.5% 4.5%
Drew Blackburn 10.0% 10.1% 9.8% 13.4% 13.7% 12.2% 12.4% 11.1% 7.3%
Kyle Williams 3.8% 3.7% 3.2% 4.2% 5.8% 6.4% 10.1% 15.2% 47.6%
Benjamin Jepsen 7.9% 6.5% 6.6% 9.5% 8.4% 10.8% 14.4% 20.0% 15.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.