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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.24vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-0.43+0.70vs Predicted
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3University of Iowa-0.99+0.25vs Predicted
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4Denison University-1.82+0.24vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.88-0.62vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-2.72-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.24University of Michigan1.700.8%1st Place
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2.7Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Iowa-0.990.1%1st Place
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4.24Denison University-1.820.0%1st Place
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4.38Michigan State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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5.19Northern Michigan University-2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 81.1% | 14.4% | 4.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lee | 9.0% | 41.5% | 28.0% | 14.1% | 6.4% | 1.0% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 5.8% | 23.0% | 30.8% | 24.2% | 13.0% | 3.2% |
| Sam Ferrone | 1.7% | 9.2% | 17.2% | 24.2% | 30.9% | 16.8% |
| Peter Atkins | 1.6% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 25.8% | 27.0% | 23.4% |
| Logan Bedford | 0.8% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 22.7% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.