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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.25vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-0.43+0.74vs Predicted
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3Denison University-1.82+1.19vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.88+0.30vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-2.72+0.22vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-0.99-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.25University of Michigan1.700.8%1st Place
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2.74Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.19Denison University-1.820.0%1st Place
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4.3Michigan State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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5.22Northern Michigan University-2.720.0%1st Place
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3.31University of Iowa-0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 79.6% | 16.6% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lee | 9.3% | 39.6% | 27.9% | 16.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Sam Ferrone | 3.4% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 22.3% | 30.3% | 17.5% |
| Peter Atkins | 1.7% | 8.4% | 15.3% | 25.6% | 30.8% | 18.2% |
| Logan Bedford | 0.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 19.6% | 59.0% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 5.3% | 22.2% | 30.0% | 24.9% | 14.0% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.