← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Michigan University-0.43+1.14vs Predicted
-
2Denison University-1.82+1.70vs Predicted
-
3Michigan State University-1.88+0.79vs Predicted
-
4Northern Michigan University-1.06-1.21vs Predicted
-
5University of Iowa-0.99-2.18vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan-4.18-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.14Western Michigan University-0.430.4%1st Place
-
3.7Denison University-1.820.1%1st Place
-
3.79Michigan State University-1.880.1%1st Place
-
2.79Northern Michigan University-1.060.2%1st Place
-
2.82University of Iowa-0.990.2%1st Place
-
5.76University of Michigan-4.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Lee | 38.6% | 29.3% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Sam Ferrone | 9.2% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 22.0% | 32.9% | 4.9% |
| Peter Atkins | 10.2% | 9.1% | 17.5% | 23.3% | 35.0% | 4.9% |
| Jessica Gula | 21.0% | 21.9% | 26.2% | 19.7% | 10.4% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 20.5% | 24.5% | 22.3% | 19.9% | 10.8% | 2.0% |
| William Buckfire | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 7.0% | 87.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.