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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-1.88+2.80vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-0.43+0.11vs Predicted
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3University of Iowa-0.99-0.33vs Predicted
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4Denison University-1.82-0.27vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-1.06-2.07vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-4.18-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Michigan State University-1.880.1%1st Place
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2.11Western Michigan University-0.430.4%1st Place
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2.67University of Iowa-0.990.2%1st Place
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3.73Denison University-1.820.1%1st Place
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2.93Northern Michigan University-1.060.2%1st Place
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5.76University of Michigan-4.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Atkins | 8.2% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 22.5% | 34.4% | 5.9% |
| Austin Lee | 41.4% | 25.5% | 18.7% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 23.1% | 24.2% | 24.9% | 18.7% | 8.4% | 0.7% |
| Sam Ferrone | 8.7% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 27.5% | 31.4% | 4.1% |
| Jessica Gula | 17.9% | 24.3% | 22.6% | 19.3% | 14.0% | 1.9% |
| William Buckfire | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 7.6% | 87.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.