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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.24vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-0.43+0.73vs Predicted
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3University of Iowa-0.99+0.27vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.88+0.31vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-2.72+0.22vs Predicted
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6Denison University-1.82-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.24University of Michigan1.700.8%1st Place
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2.73Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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3.27University of Iowa-0.990.1%1st Place
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4.31Michigan State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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5.22Northern Michigan University-2.720.0%1st Place
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4.24Denison University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 80.8% | 15.0% | 4.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lee | 9.0% | 41.2% | 27.1% | 14.8% | 6.6% | 1.3% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 5.7% | 22.4% | 30.7% | 25.2% | 12.8% | 3.2% |
| Peter Atkins | 1.7% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 24.3% | 31.3% | 18.8% |
| Logan Bedford | 0.7% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 20.1% | 58.7% |
| Sam Ferrone | 2.1% | 8.9% | 16.7% | 25.1% | 29.2% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.